Forget the $20M ICO: How Not to Torch Your Startup in 2025 (And Survive to Tell the Tale)

Hey. Sitting here reminiscing about 2017. Bitcoin soaring toward $20K, every other hoodie-wearing dude raising $30 million for a Telegram-based idea. I was stunned. Twenty billion dollars in two years! The average ICO haul was $23.9 million. Sounds like startup heaven, right? Yeah, not really.

Trust me, I know what I’m talking about. My last startup nearly died from too much money too soon. Now, looking at 2025, I see newcomers making the same mistake. Only the stakes are higher, and trust in crypto is lower. Honestly, it’s time to stop playing investor roulette.

ICO 2025: Not a 2018 Repeat (Spoiler: $23.9M is a Museum Exhibit Now)

Forget past numbers. 2025 is a different universe. Yes, ICOs still exist, but:

  • The average round is now $8-10M, not $23.9M (look at ICONOVO AB with their ~$8.5M). The era of gigantomania is over.
  • 86% of those ICO tokens still trade below their issue price. What does that tell you? Investors got burned and won’t hand over cash lightly.
  • Where did the big money go? Into RWA (Real World Assets – tokenizing real assets: real estate, gold, bonds). The RWA market is expected to exceed $50 billion by year-end. That’s where the feast is happening. And into decentralized AI – where $917M just poured in. The old “token for access to a vague platform” doesn’t cut it anymore.

2025 Fundraising Method Comparison:

Method Average Raise Success Odds Best For
Classic ICO $8-10M Low (14%) Highly confident teams with MVP+
RWA Tokenization $15-50M+ Higher (67%) Projects with real assets/revenue
VC (AI/Web3) $1-5M (early) Medium (42%) Tech projects, especially AI agents (like Grass)
Stablecoins (DAI, USDC) Project-dependent Stable Operations, not MVP development

(Newcomer explanation: RWA means taking a real-world valuable item (like a gold bar or property share), turning it into a “digital token” on the blockchain, and selling it to investors. More reliable – if the asset is real! – than empty promises.)

“But We Need Cash For… (Insert Excuse Here)”

Heard it a million times. Pricey blockchain devs? Fine. Complex tech? Happens. But most ICO budgets in 2018 went toward:

  • Paying millions for listings on top exchanges. For what?
  • Paying influencers to scream “ToTheMoonToken!!!” on YouTube. Doesn’t work anymore.
  • Offices with golden toilets before user #1. Classic.

Remember: As VC legend Peter Thiel said – pay your CEO under $150K. Why? To keep them hungry and grinding for company growth, not just a paycheck. Money should force focus, not dilute it.

The Core Problem With 2025 ICOs: Running Ahead of the Steamroller (No Parachute)

The main sin of many ICO startups? They were born too early. As Salil Deshpande of Bain Capital Ventures says: “Full decentralization is happening slower than we thought.”

  • Example: How many people actually use top dApps daily? About 15,000. Compare that to Coinbase‘s 100M+ users. A cosmic gap!
  • Conclusion: If your project requires “the whole planet switching to Web3 tomorrow” to break even after raising $20M via ICO… You’re doomed. Cash dries up before the market matures. See the 86% ICO failure stat above.

My Personal Pain: How $9M Nearly Killed My Startup (Humanity.com)

Backstory: My first startup (Humanity.com, later ShiftPlanning). We grew gradually:

  1. Seed: $150K → Built core functionality.
  2. Another $200K → Grew traffic.
  3. $3M over 3 years → As needed, step by step.

Then – BAM! – $9M investment. TRIPLE our previous total. We had clients, growth, a team… Seemed like a dream!

Reality? Culture imploded:

  • Became less agile. Why find cheap solutions when you can buy expensive ones?
  • Doubled down on failing features (“We invested so much, we must give it a chance!”).
  • “Find ways to save” became “find ways to spend.”

And this was with a WORKING product and clients! Imagine teams raising $20M+ on ICOs with just whitepapers and dreams? Like giving a teenager a Ferrari – fun until it crashes. We got lucky – clawed back (now 1M+ users including Lyft and Nike). Most ICO projects didn’t.

Checklist: “You DON’T Need a $20M ICO If…” (Tick if applies)

  1. No MVP (Minimum Viable Product – basic but WORKING prototype). Only an idea + PDF? Forget ICOs, build your product. Ernst & Young noted 71% of 2018 ICOs lacked even a prototype. Today, that’s unacceptable.
  2. Your team has never managed $1M. Money = responsibility, not lottery winnings.
  3. Your market matures in 3+ years. See “running ahead of the steamroller.”
  4. You don’t know “MiCA”. The EU’s regulatory bomb (Markets in Crypto-Assets) strictly governs crypto, including ICOs. Without a MiCA-savvy lawyer – don’t even try. Spending transparency is now MANDATORY.
  5. You ignore alternatives. Stablecoins for ops? Grants? Staged VC? RWA? If “yes” – you’re chasing hype.

So How to Raise Money in 2025? (Without a Suicidal ICO)

My experience with Humanity and current blockchain startup (WorkChain.io) taught me: raise money ONLY as you learn to spend it wisely. Here’s the blueprint I use and recommend:

Pre-seed: $150K-$500K → Build MVP → Seed: $1M-$3M → Acquire early users/clients → RWA Tokenization / Seed+ → Scale: ICO or major VC

Breakdown:

  1. Pre-seed ($150K-$500K): From FFF (Family, Friends, Fools), angels, grants. Goal: Build core MVP. Like Facebook ($500K seed) or Uber ($200K founders + $1.2M angels).
  2. Seed ($1M-$3M): Target Web3/AI-focused VCs (like Hack VC, allocating 41% to AI+blockchain). Goal: Launch public MVP, get early users/clients, prove demand. Key: Take only what’s needed for the NEXT 12-18 months.
  3. RWA Tokenization / Seed+: If you have real assets/revenue (e.g., platform fees), consider RWA tokenization. Currently the hottest, most reliable trend for big raises ($15M+). Or pursue another VC round.
  4. Scale (ICO / Series A): Only NOW, if essential and the market is READY, consider ICOs for explosive growth – but with a working product, users, and a crystal-clear spending plan. Or choose traditional Series A.

Stage-by-Stage Alternatives:

  • Stablecoins (DAI, USDC): Ideal for operational costs (salaries, servers), especially with crypto revenue. Nearly 18% of crypto VC deals involve stablecoins/infrastructure.
  • Decentralized AI Agents (Grass etc.): Emerging trend! Build products using decentralized compute/AI services paid via crypto – often cheaper/more flexible.
  • Grants (foundations, protocols): Free money for ecosystem development. Hunt them!

Transparency Isn’t Just Buzzword Bingo (Thanks, MiCA!)

Blockchain loves transparency? Then why do ICO startups so often hide where money goes? The irony…

Today, thanks to MiCA (and common sense from investors burned by 86% failures), transparency is non-negotiable. How to implement:

  • Reversible ICO (RICO): Concept by Fabian Vogelsteller (ERC-20 co-creator!). Investors can withdraw funds anytime if promises are broken. Harsh? But fair. Gaining traction now.
  • DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization): Governance and treasury via code-enforced rules. All transactions are visible. Complex but trust-building. (See Aragon for frameworks).
  • Transparency Frameworks: Regular reports: funds spent, development progress, plans. Not vague “we’re working,” but specifics. In 2025, this isn’t “nice-to-have” – it’s “no trust without it.”

Conclusion: Your 2025 ICO? First Ask “Why?”

I’m still a blockchain believer. I see its potential. But this industry won’t mature if we keep handing out $20M for slick pitch decks.

My startup, WorkChain.io, started with $250K seed. They called us fools in 2017: “Just launch an ICO!” We built a product. Now we’re here, growing, and when we raise again – it’ll be precisely what’s needed for the next phase, not a golden swimming pool.

Your 2025 Mission:

  1. Ruthlessly evaluate: Got an MVP? Market ready? Can you handle $20M?
  2. Research alternatives: RWA, stablecoins, VC, grants, decentralized AI. ICO isn’t the only path.
  3. Bake in transparency: MiCA is serious. RICO and DAOs are allies. Openness = trust = survival.
  4. Start small: Like Facebook, Uber, Amazon (remember their humble seeds?). Prove people want your thing before begging for millions.

Answer to the title? Your blockchain startup does NOT need a $20M ICO in 2025. What it likely needs is a plan, a product, and realism. The right money will come – at the right time.

Good luck. And don’t torch the cash.

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